By way of explanation:
The editorial staff began to look at the way screenwriters work in the entertainment industry when Braveheart was released to a fanfare of publicity proclaiming it the authentic story of William Wallace. The outrageous nature of this pretence has been examined elsewhere and some of the analysis held on the server can be downloaded, but our principal concern was to examine the nature of the pressures exerted on screenwriters to produce such travesties of history.
No films are made without a blueprint. The screenwriter produces the blueprint. Thus it is held that the screenwriter is a key player in the film production process. But screenwriters are not treated as key players. Traditionally they are treated as necessary evils who disturb the smooth running of the industry. Their job is to deliver exactly what the director thinks he wants that day ~ and then to get out of the way. (There is a traditional Hollywood joke about the intellectually-challenged actress who was so stupid she slept with the writer.)
Nevertheless, the screenwriters battle on, their morale boosted by the certaintly that without them the industry would die, and by the regular announcements of "spec" scripts being sold for six- or seven-digit figures. Spec scripts are those written speculatively in the hope that a studio or an independent production company (an "indie") will buy them. Many writers believe the sale of a spec to be the easiest way into the film industry, which is perhaps why about a thousand a week enter the marketplace.
A script is a commodity. Hollywood is a market. John Hill, a successful operator in this field who gives a lot of his time to helping newcomers understand the business, always stresses that commercial aspects must be given the first consideration. So we asked him to set out the principles that should guide the aspirant screenwriter. He replied that in Hollywood writers should lead with their heads and follow up with their hearts, and then went on to expand his views in the context of an analysis of last year's top films (explicitly, last year's top twenty at the American box office) .
John has written over 50 screenplays and has been a full-time professional Hollywood screenwriter for over 25 years. His produced credits include Little Nikita in 1988 (starring Sidney Poitier and River Phoenix) and Quigley Down Under in 1990 (starring Tom Selleck). As a writer-producer he has several TV successes, including Quantum Leap and L.A. Law (for which in 1991 he won an Emmy). As a thoughtful businessman he ....... Well, if you have ever thought of writing a filmscript, really wanted to create an historical epic based on how it truly was, just read on.
The year's first issue of Weekly Variety offers the list of the previous year's Top 20 (domestic) Grossers at the box-office. These hits, and any trends or patterns they display, are significant because they greatly influence agents and the buyers of our scripts (along with whatever current new movies are hits, plus recently announced spec script sales, etc.)
I'm going to offer my interpretation of what can be gleaned from this data by those who want to write spec screenplays.
The organizing principles I use are based on:
Terrific high concept movie ideas ~ "event" movies ~ are the odds-on best way to break in (and to stay in!) as a screenwriter.
My definitions for tone/genres, and what I think these are today, include:
(This preface has been necessary to define the terms I use, and also to explain the operating paradigm underneath our analysis. Some may disagree with the definitions, but this interpretation is skewed towards the spec writer alone.)
2. TWISTER - $241 million - "Disaster" genre. A developed project from producer Spielberg/written by Michael Crichton & wife/director of Speed - so while I don't know exact origin, it was a spec by an unknown writer -- but I suggest it could have been. Very high concept: "Two estranged professional storm-chasers spend 24 hours in tornado alley, dodging death, trying to launch a tornada-data-transmitter up inside a funnel."LESSONS FOR SPEC WRITERS? ~ While this "event" movie originated from two successful film-maker partners with clout, as a high concept spec script it might have been purchased as well - as a "disaster" movie. And disaster movies haven't peaked yet either. Don't shy away from doing a 90's spin on old genre/plots - everything about ID4 is familiar ... and yet it's new too. Remember ~ coming up with hot spec scripts is not an originality contest.
3. MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE. $181 million. Thriller. Not high concept - yet totally "gettable" in promotional terms: Tom Cruise in a remake.LESSONS? ~ In case you believe ID4 is not a "disaster" movie, Twister as megahit disaster movie is the answer to why the disaster genre is back so ferociously. Another lesson: special effects can do ANYTHING now ~ and audiences love them.
4. THE ROCK. $134 million. Action. Written ON SPEC! High concept: "Paramilitary soldiers take Alcatraz, threaten to launch biochemical rockets at city so former convict and FBI man have to sneak on island, and stop them." Also: Die Hard on Alcatraz. Or, Speed on Alcatraz.LESSONS? ~ The more over-the-top the stunts, the better for audiences.
5. THE NUTTY PROFESSOR. $128 million. Comedy. Remake. High concept.LESSONS? ~ When the formula (for action movies) works, it works great.
6. RANSOM. $125 million. Thriller. Remake. High concept.LESSONS? ~ Between The Mask and this movie's special effects, plus Multiplicity, thinking up ANY wildly imaginative COMEDIC premise makes sense in terms of "whether it can be done on screen or not." It can.
7. THE BIRDCAGE. $124 million. Comedy. Remake. High concept.LESSONS? ~ Make sure thrillers really thrill (this one does.) And this one also benefits from exploiting a universal and primal human emotion - your child stolen by evil people.
8. 101 DALMATIANS. $109 million. Family film. Remake. Not high concept.LESSONS? ~ Like the other high concept, star-vehicle remakes, these arguably COULD have been spec script-type ideas. Notice how bascially SIMPLE each is.
9. A TIME TO KILL. $108 million. Drama. Based on a book. Not high concept.LESSONS? ~ Remake of a cartoon, so no great concept or lessons for us. But to remind us what studios want today ~ this was geared up as an "event" movie - and it succeeded - and it reportedly had 17,000 pieces of merchandising to boost the profits.
10. PHENOMENON. $104 million. Drama. SPEC SCRIPT! High concept.LESSONS? ~ None for us spec writers ~ A John Gresham book = a film start date.
11. THE FIRST WIVES CLUB. $103 million. Comedy. Based on book proposal. High concept.LESSONS? ~ Simple, charming, powerful idea. Very easy to cast.
12. ERASER. $101 million. Action. SPEC script (?). Not a high concept.LESSONS? ~ This is a rare movie FOR women that stars women without equally weighted male protagonists too; great example of a great concept-in-title. This was based on a novel, but also shows "if you hit the right cultural nerve end (even for the less likely target audience), the audiences will come." (That's what high concept means, by the way: hit a cultural nerve end that makes even non-movie-goers hear about a movie and immediately want to experience it.)
13. HUNCHBACK OF NOTRE DAME. $100 million. Animation. Based on book. Not high concept.LESSONS? ~ Schwarzenegger in a summer action movie still = blockbuster. I remain fascinated that this does NOT have some great, wild, oh-wow premise. Nevertheless, it is NOT a good gamble to NOT have a great concept in an action script.
14. STAR TREK: FIRST CONTACT. $86 million. Action/adventure? Sequel/based on TV. Not high concept.LESSONS? ~ None, except that animation will continue to be successful at the box-office and therefore continue to use up studio development money and energies and distribution pipelines that otherwise might go to our spec scripts. Studios presently are not buying spec scripts in animation.
15. SPACE JAM. $83 million. Animation. High concept. Studio-developed script.LESSONS? ~ None. Sequels to sequels - franchises - like animation, only eat up development and production monies that could have gone to our spec scripts. However, this again demonstrates how great special effects help to make a movie a hit.
16. MR. HOLLAND'S OPUS. $82 million. Drama. Not high concept. Spec script.LESSONS? ~ Because it is a mix of live actors and animation, very cleverly blended, in the Roger-Rabbit school of fun conceptually, I believe a spec that in some great clever way blends animation ideas and live action could be a smart spec. It's a thought.
17. BROKEN ARROW. $70 million. Action. High concept. Spec script.LESSONS? ~ For anyone looking for a justification of non-concept, non-event, non-blockbuster mentality movies, here's a guy named Patrick Sheane Duncan who is now your patron saint. There should be plastic white dashboard statues of him. Now, are you ready for this? TWO of the top twenty domestic hit box-office movies of 1996 were spec scripts by this one writer (10%!), and neither is high concept, nor an "event" movie, nor with any thought of theme park rides or action figures at Taco Bell. He seems to just write "quality people dramas" - and they get purchased - and filmed - AND (and this is the unarguable part) become blockbuster hit movies. Plus, Mr. Duncan has time also to publish and write a great screenwriting magazine too, telling how he does it! It is Screenwriter Quarterly (call 714-693-1866 in the USA). He has also written A Home Of Our Own (the Kathy Bates movie) and Nick Of Time (the high concept thriller with Johnny Depp). Not an odds-on way to go for most writers, to not do a more commercial, more high concept script, but who can argue with success like this?
18. JERRY MAGUIRE. $65 million. Comedy. Not a high concept. Clout of writer-director.LESSONS? ~ A great high concept, easily castable, stunt-filled action script can work.
19. THE CABLE GUY. $60 million. Comedy. Not high concept. Based on spec script.LESSONS? ~ A writer-director with portfolio, Cameron Crowe, made this movie happen. Had it been a spec script from the rest of us, well ...... we'll never know. Some may think of this as a romantic comedy, not just a comedy, but the trailers didn't emphasize the romance part, nor did the printed advertisements, nor was the female in the romance a known star. It also could be called that rare beast, a comedy-drama. But I don't think there is anything here to be emulated directly in our spec scripts.
20. COURAGE UNDER FIRE. $59 million. Drama. Not high concept. Based on spec script.LESSONS? ~ This was a spec script that went the distance - THE top comic wanted to do it. Try not to be distracted by the fact that it was disappointingly dark, or a let-down compared to other Jim Carrey big hits. For our purposes, it was a non-high concept spec comedy that 'worked' (it was sold and it was made, and it was the 19th biggest domestic box-office hit of the year).
That's it, Folks. In brief ~ it's great fun to write what you want, makes you feel good, impresses the family - but if you want to sell, you must study what the buyers are buying and then write what they are going to be buying the month you finally finish your masterpiece. No, you don't know for sure what that will be, and neither do I, but looking at the factors that will influence them (success and money), will improve your chances.LESSONS? ~ This is Patrick Sheane Duncan's OTHER hit movie in the top 20 in 1996. See what I mean? Another "quality people drama" - and also, a very different type of movie as well. Does the success of this movie made it a little easier for others to try a "quality people drama"? Probably. A statistically likely path to success? No. But then, I'd have told Mr. Duncan that too, with graphs and charts and day-glo highlighted reasons why Mr Holland's Opus and Courage Under Fire were not smart spec scripts to take to this type of market, rather like the mathmeticians who can prove a bumblebee can't fly ......
Here is a summary of what I believe we can learn.
Number of SPEC SCRIPTS from top 10 domestic hits of 1996 = SEVEN
Of those seven, in terms of genre:
Action = 3 ~ The Rock; Broken Arrow; Eraser
Of those seven, in terms of concept?
High concept? .. = 4 ~ The Rock; Phenomenon; Eraser; Broken Arrow
Drama. = 3 ~ Phenomenon; Mr Holland's Opus; Courage Under Fire
Comedy = 1 ~ Cable Guy
Not high concept = 3 ~ Mr Holland's Opus; Courage Under Fire; Cable Guy
Other lessons from all 20 top domestic hits of the year ~
So the genres appear to be pretty evenly divided. However, here are some random observations on the genres in relation to us and our efforts:
What did I write near the beginning?
High concept scripts require to be written so that superstars COULD play the lead roles (whether they are chosen to do so or not)? Of the 18 non-animation movies in the Top Twenty, although not all were high concept, all 18 did have "castable for bankable superstar" lead roles. And nearly all in fact had superstars in those lead roles.Terrific high concept movie ideas ~ "event" movies ~ are the odds-on best way to break in (and to stay in!) as a screenwriter.
(c) JOHN HILL 1997
So what is the consequence of John Hill's analysis for historians who would like to see films, and perhaps to write screenplays, that find the truth alone not only more virtuous but also sufficiently interesting? Is it necessary to have the body of the dead El Cid strapped to his horse and leading his men into battle at Valencia when in truth he died in bed many years later?
"Follow the money" is the adage that carries most weight. If the legend conflicts with the facts, film the legend; if there is no legend, invent one. Sadly, facts don't fill seats.
A FINAL WORD ~ If you would still like to examine the possibility of becoming a screenwriter (setting the facts straight and earning six-figure rewards!), check in with Lou Grantt, editor of Hollywood Scriptwriter and longtime script consultant. Just click her picture here, convert its hyperlink to a bookmark, and visit her when you've finished reading this issue of the Baronage magazine.
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